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S.C. Succession: Another U.S. Senate Poll Shows Ralph Norman Leading
Veteran congressman narrowly ahead of Lindsey Graham’s sister in new survey… more than a quarter of the likely electorate is undecided.
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I think this poll with Trey Gowdy (hopefully he runs) having a large lead is most accurate:
TO: Interested Parties
FROM: Erik Iverson, Peak Insights
RE: South Carolina U.S. Senate Special Primary Election Poll
A recent survey of likely 2026 South Carolina Republican Special Primary Election voters (N=900 live calls
and texts; July 18-20; MoE +/-3%) shows former Congressman Trey Gowdy with a wide lead in a
hypothetical matchup for U.S. Senate. The survey also shows that President Trump’s endorsement of
Senator Darline Graham Nordone gives her a sizable boost, although not enough to overcome Gowdy’s
lead.
“If the Republican primary election for U.S. Senator was held today, for whom
would you vote?”
Trey Gowdy 38%
Ralph Norman 13%
Russell Fry 9%
Darline Graham Nordone 9%
Mark Lynch 7%
Nancy Mace 6%
Pamela Evette 4%
Mark Sanford 4%
None/other 2%
Don’t know 9%
The survey also tested the impact of President Trump’s endorsement of Graham Nordone.
“President Trump asked Darline Graham Nordone to run in the special election
for U.S. Senate, saying if she runs, she has his complete and total endorsement.
Knowing this, if the Republican primary election for U.S. Senator was held today,
for whom would you vote?”
Trey Gowdy 35%
Darline Graham Nordone 16%
Ralph Norman 10%
Russell Fry 9%
Mark Lynch 8%
Nancy Mace 4%
Mark Sanford 4%
Pamela Evette 2%
None/other 1%
Don’t know 9%
In both ballot scenarios, Gowdy leads in every media market across the state, in every Congressional
District, among both men and women and among all age groups. Gowdy also leads among GOP voters
who describe themselves as part of the “Trump/MAGA” wing of the party (58% of the vote) as well as
among “Traditional/Mainline” wing Republicans.