National Politics - 2016

Iowa Speaks …

… WHAT WILL IT SAY? America will get its first glimpse at the 2016 presidential election as it actually is … not as the polls say it is … when the voters of Iowa gather this evening for their quadrennial presidential preference caucuses. The 2012 Iowa Caucus was an exceedingly…

… WHAT WILL IT SAY?

America will get its first glimpse at the 2016 presidential election as it actually is … not as the polls say it is … when the voters of Iowa gather this evening for their quadrennial presidential preference caucuses.

The 2012 Iowa Caucus was an exceedingly close affair on the GOP side.  Former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum received 29,839 votes (24.56 percent), while eventual “Republican” nominee Mitt Romney got 29,805 votes (24.53 percent).  Our candidate of choice – former U.S. Rep. Ron Paul – finished in third place with 26,036 voters (21.43 percent).

Obviously Romney and Paul aren’t running this go-round … and Santorum has been a non-factor in the 2016 race.  In fact of the “Republican” candidates still in the race at this juncture, polls show him finishing dead last in Iowa.

That means the state will crown a new champion …

According to the latest polling, Iowa is expected to boil down to a battle between GOP frontrunner Donald Trump – whose candidacy we endorsed last week – and U.S. Senator Ted Cruz of Texas.  The final pre-election aggregate polling data from Real Clear Politics shows Trump enjoying the support of 28.6 percent of caucus-goers, ahead of Cruz’s 23.9 percent.  Both Trump and Cruz have seen their numbers dip in the last few days, though.

Surging to the finish line, though?  Left-leaning, pro-amnesty U.S. Senator Marco Rubio of Florida – who has seen his support jump five points within the last week all the way up to 16.9 percent.

Hmmm … are these corn-feds not paying attention?

The rest of the field?  Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson (7.7 percent), U.S. Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky (4.1 percent), former Florida governor Jeb Bush (4.1 percent), former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee (3.1 percent), Ohio governor John Kasich (2.9 percent), former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (2.6 percent), New Jersey governor Chris Christie (2.4 percent) and Santorum (1.1 percent).

Five other candidates – Wisconsin governor Scott Walker, Louisiana governor Bobby Jindal, former Texas governor Rick Perry, U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina and former New York governor George Pataki – have already dropped out of the race.

On the Democratic side, frontrunner Hillary Clinton – who finished third in Iowa in 2008 – is running neck-and-neck with independent socialist U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders.  In fact the final pre-election aggregate polling data in that race shows Clinton with a narrow four-point lead over Sanders – 48-44 percent.

Our prediction?  Trump and Clinton – by razor-thin margins.

Who do you think will win?  Post your thoughts in our comments section below …

***

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42 comments

erneba February 1, 2016 at 10:25 am

Sanders by a nose in the Democrat Caucus. Hillary’s miseries continue.
Trump by a bit in the Republican caucus. This is where he starts putting space between him and the other Republican candidates.

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Flip February 1, 2016 at 10:52 am

Cruz wins tonight.His organization is the best and the blizzard.Will be his last win however.This thing is all Trump.

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fl ? p ?? February 1, 2016 at 11:04 am

Cruz wins, America loses… Go Sanders!

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Ow, ow, ow February 1, 2016 at 11:18 am Reply
fl ? p ?? February 1, 2016 at 11:21 am

The body serving as Ted Cruz’ host probably is.

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Red scare! February 1, 2016 at 11:22 am

Trump will be nominee anyway.Hillary’s husband hates her and Bernie loves him some communist cock.Wait until that story breaks next week.Castrp allegedly let him cohabit ate with male prisoners on his visits to Cuba.

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Orange scare February 1, 2016 at 11:24 am

pogo are you drinking already? You’re going straight to the gay stuff, huh?

fl ? p ?? February 1, 2016 at 11:26 am

My gaydar goes off the charts when he comes here! Oh my!

Kids February 1, 2016 at 11:27 am

My pedo-dar goes off the charts when he comes around!

vicupstate February 1, 2016 at 11:36 am

The blizzard isn’t going to hit until 1:00 am Tuesday.

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Wrong again vic February 1, 2016 at 12:44 pm

Wrong again vicupchuck.Snow starts at 6.

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fl ? p ?? February 1, 2016 at 11:39 am

“We’re going to work with our hospitals. We’re going to work with our doctors. We’ve got to do something. You can’t have a — a small percentage of our economy, because they’re down and out, have absolutely no protection so they end up dying from, you know, what you could have a simple procedure or even a pill. You can’t do that. We’ll work something out. That doesn’t mean single payer. And I mean, maybe he’s got no heart. And if this means I lose an election, that’s fine, because, frankly, we have to take care of the people in our country. We can’t let them die on the sidewalks of New York or the sidewalks of Iowa or anywhere else.”

From your boy Trump! I may vote for him if that’s the case! LMAO!!!

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Herman W. "Buz" Martin February 1, 2016 at 11:12 am

Hillary may be facing jail time for espionage.

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Buzzard Einstein February 1, 2016 at 11:16 am

Boy that was a fucking brilliant comment and observation.Mommy just turn the cable back on?

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fl ? p ?? February 1, 2016 at 11:21 am

Smarter than anything you’ve said today. Why do you run from who, and what, you are?

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guest February 1, 2016 at 12:07 pm

I bet pogo is honored that Fits had to hire full time staff to combat his legendary, conservative intellectual prowess?

Tazmaniac February 1, 2016 at 12:51 pm

Looks like you have it right. The thing that gets me is the implication that somehow Iowa is representative of everything between NYC and LA. They come across like a bunch of leftist moochers to me.

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jj February 1, 2016 at 10:28 am

Will Clinton be indicted on espionage/treason charges before or after the election?

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The Colonel (R) February 1, 2016 at 10:32 am

Can you imagine what kind of weasel she will get to agree to be her Veep?!?

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TroubleBaby February 1, 2016 at 10:45 am

Huma!

lulz

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Annetteapetit4 February 2, 2016 at 5:49 am

6?my neighbor’s mate is getting 98$. HOURLY. on the internet?….A few days ago new McLaren F1 subsequent after earning 18,512$,,,this was my previous month’s paycheck ,and-a little over, 17k$ Last month ..3-5 h/r of work a day ..with extra open doors & weekly. paychecks.. it’s realy the easiest work I have ever Do.. I Joined This 7 months ago and now making over 87$, p/h.Learn More right Here????? http://GlobalSuperEmploymentVacanciesReportsJobs/GetPaid/98$hourly .?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?vs…

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fl ? p ?? February 1, 2016 at 11:13 am

Probably that liberal creep pogo. Oh my!

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Dave February 1, 2016 at 1:50 pm

Probably someone with more character than an old racist taker, like you.

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The Colonel (R) February 1, 2016 at 5:49 pm

Wow – you worked racists in, how original.

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Manray9 February 1, 2016 at 3:53 pm

I’m sure she couldn’t get a distinguished American like Dick “Five Deferments” Cheney.

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D.A. Warrant February 1, 2016 at 10:57 am

Probably about the same time as the new ‘faggot ‘ flip.

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fl ? p ?? February 1, 2016 at 11:04 am

AM I BEING DETAINED? LMAO!!!!

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U B on payroll February 1, 2016 at 11:13 am

Does Fits give you paid medical leave and a Christmas bonus?

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fl ? p ?? February 1, 2016 at 11:14 am

Fits gives me and everyone else here the daily opportunity to slap the piss and shit out of you and call you for who and what you are! LMAO!!!!

Irs February 1, 2016 at 11:17 am

Do you get a 1099?

fl ? p ?? February 1, 2016 at 11:19 am

Do you get SNAP?

Irs February 1, 2016 at 12:04 pm

No.You will find that out.

Bible Thumper February 1, 2016 at 10:35 am

WHAT FITS NEWS WON’T REPORT: Part I
The South Carolina Department of Employment and Workforce (SCDEW) and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released news on South Carolina’s December 2015 employment situation on January 26, 2016. The extraordinary nature of this month’s data deserves detailed analysis that hasn’t been done in the government releases or in the media. All of this data was collected by the Census Bureau from two monthly nationwide surveys. These surveys are commonly called the Household survey and the Institutional survey.

First, I will start with the major details of the SCDEW news release available on the right sidebar at http://www.sces.org.

The December unemployment rate remained unchanged from November at 5.5 percent. However, the number of people working in South Carolina grew by 10,111 people, pushing South Carolina’s employment level to 2,147,642, a historic high.

The number of people unemployed was virtually unchanged from November to December at 124,022 while the labor force increased by 10,300 to 2,271,664 people.

Over the past year, employment gains totaled 78,452, an all-time, year-over-year record for the state. Since December 2014, the number of unemployed people has decreased by 23,040, and the labor force has grown by nearly 55,412 people.

Nationally, the unemployment rate held steady at 5 percent in December.

Now what the SCDEW, MSM and Fits won’t Print
All of the above information comes from the Household survey. To better understand the above data, the labor force increased by 1,300. This equals the increase in employment of 10,111 plus an increase in the number of unemployed job seekers of 189. While an increase in the unemployed is normally not good, in this case indicates that formerly discouraged workers are reentering the work force. This may mean that there is still room for more job growth while there may not yet be pressure to increase wages.

All of the above data can calculated from data that can be downloaded from an .xlsx file link above the table at http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LASST450000000000006?data_tool=XGtable.
The data is available in one file covering each month since January 1976.

By opening the above download in an Excel spreadsheet, I was able compute more detailed information about South Carolina’s employment situation that has not been reported elsewhere. The 10,111 jobs gained in December is the third highest month ever. The other two record months also occurred in the last twelve months. In fact, the top seven months ever recorded for job gains in South Carolina were in the last twelve months. January 2015, the current record holder and the first of these record breaking months at 10,610 jobs broke the existing record lasting since October 2006 by 3,888 jobs and the second highest from July 1983 by 3,928 jobs.

The 78,452 year-over-year job gains, as reported by SCDEW above, was the second consecutive record breaking month. These two months broke the previous record that was held since May 1984 of 70,735 jobs. The May 1984 record was more impressive considering South Carolina’s much smaller population at the time. I have calculated the yearly percent job growth rate since 1977. At 3.79%, December’s year-over-year job growth rate is SC’s highest since November 1984.

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fl ? p ?? February 1, 2016 at 11:23 am

Great research sir. The racist flag comes down and our employment numbers are improving. Progress for SC!

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Will Folks aka Sic February 1, 2016 at 11:37 am

Try to stay on topic. Just wrote on the state’s labor participation rate, which was up from 59 to 59.2 percent in December. Story here -> https://www.fitsnews.com/2016/02/01/sc-labor-participation-rate-ticks-up-in-december/

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J.Smith February 1, 2016 at 12:03 pm

Stay on topic? Like ‘fl ? p ??’ running around every thread calling me a pedophile and stating as fact that I am molesting my children?

Please.

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Yikes! February 1, 2016 at 12:19 pm

It’s a fact you do those things???

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flip's youngest son (D) February 1, 2016 at 11:14 pm

It is a well established fact, that you are a raging pedophile and a 25 year member of NAMBLA.

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9" February 1, 2016 at 10:42 am Reply
Manray9 February 1, 2016 at 10:57 am

“Iowa speaks…” But does it really matter?

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shifty henry February 1, 2016 at 11:31 am

IOWA was named for the native American people called the Ioway, the meaning of which is “Idiots Out Wandering Around” …..

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Rocky Verdad February 1, 2016 at 1:09 pm

Iowa Speaks – and it says ——— “Freakin’ cold out!!!!!!”

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