Earlier today we tweeted the results of a cell phone poll of voters in South Carolina’s first congressional district – where former S.C. Gov. Mark Sanford is locked in a ferocious battle with former six-figure taxpayer-funded bureaucrat Elizabeth Colbert-Busch (sister of comedian Stephen Colbert).
This cell phone poll – while obviously not scientific – showed Colbert-Busch with an incredibly small lead over Sanford as the race’s final week winds down.
How small? Less than half of a percent …
Oddly enough, this poll – which was really nothing more than a marketing ploy for the advertising firm that conducted it – appears to have nailed the current margin in this race. How do we know this? Because Democratic sources tell FITS that a more traditional poll conducted by an independent organization on the same night – April 30 – revealed a roughly identical margin.
Let’s check the numbers …
The cell phone poll, conducted by ccAdvertising, had Colbert-Busch leading Sanford by a 40-39.5 percent margin – with more than 20 percent of respondents falling into the “undecided” camp. Obviously that high undecided total reflects the fact that many of those surveyed aren’t likely voters – i.e. they haven’t been following the race.
The traditional poll, which surveyed only likely voters, had Colbert Busch leading Sanford by a 48-47 percent margin with only 5 percent of respondents undecided.
Different audiences, same margin … which strikes us as pretty compelling evidence that any way you slice it, this race is going to go down to the wire.
Who do you like in the South Carolina first district? Vote in our poll and post your thoughts in our comments section below!
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69 comments
Only an idiot would vote for Sanford. But SC has plenty of idiots.
10-4…..!!!!!
Yep
Sanford 57%
ECB 43%
Only an idiot would vote for Sanford. But SC has plenty of idiots.
10-4…..!!!!!
Yep
Sanford 57%
ECB 43%
We tell all the negroes at the Piggly Wiggly about this election, and fudge a bit to get them to go vote.
We say ECB is like Elizabeth Warren, 1/30th negroe.
‘Dey all ‘gwine vote fo’ da hebby ledy wub the big, big hair-do in de blue druss, an’ not de’ white man wub the girl fren’ frum Brazil.
You do realize you are not posting to your KKK member site, right?
The most KKK site we ever seen. jew-haters, negroe-haters, yankee-haters, mexican-haters, arab-haters, abortion-haters, fag-haters, government-haters. Feels good, like it’s 1930 around here.
Well Amos….Catfish here…..believe ya done nailed it!
We tell all the negroes at the Piggly Wiggly about this election, and fudge a bit to get them to go vote.
We say ECB is like Elizabeth Warren, 1/30th negroe.
‘Dey all ‘gwine vote fo’ da hebby ledy wub the big, big hair-do in de blue druss, an’ not de’ white man wub the girl fren’ frum Brazil.
You do realize you are not posting to your KKK member site, right?
The most KKK site we ever seen. jew-haters, negroe-haters, yankee-haters, mexican-haters, arab-haters, abortion-haters, fag-haters, government-haters. Feels good, like it’s 1930 around here.
Well Amos….Catfish here…..believe ya done nailed it!
If (and I mean IF) polling is reflecting a sub-1% margin, that means Sanford will likely win by several points in this district… amazing.
If (and I mean IF) polling is reflecting a sub-1% margin, that means Sanford will likely win by several points in this district… amazing.
So who is the traditional pollster? Give us the number of participants, margin of error and pollster’s name.
So who is the traditional pollster? Give us the number of participants, margin of error and pollster’s name.
Really, because both candidates are so repulsive, there is no way to lose, if you are a South Carolinian.
If he wins, it is bad, bad news for democrats, when they cannot even beat the worst the GOP trots out, in a weird special election, w/ a well-funded, popular female, whose brother is a liberal deity. It proves maybe people are finally figuring out what a Total Failure Obama and the democrat party is.
If she wins, the SCGOP is rid of an embarrassing albatross and a Conservative, with some honor attached to his name, not shame, will take the seat when it comes back up.
Either way: there’s something god to come from it.
That was concise, well thought out, and reasonably well spelled. CAPSLOCK was not overused and the words “dumb@$$” and “Liberal-Tarian” were nowhere to be found.
Who the hell are you?
She says “thanks” for the compliments, and is proud that she is doing so much better. She is surprised that folks will actually READ HER POSTS when she writes like this —- interesting, huh? (even I read them now!)
Sanford’s got this because he almost always out performs the numbers in polls. Especially this year with people who are gun shy about admitting that are voting for him.
Sanford’s got this because he almost always out performs the numbers in polls. Especially this year with people who are gun shy about admitting that are voting for him.
And the winner is: THE DEVIL YOU KNOW!!!!
And the winner is: THE DEVIL YOU KNOW!!!!
Push Politics all the way!!!!
Push Politics all the way!!!!
Conservatives are going to do one of these: 1. Abstain (rather than vote Sanford) 2. vote Sanford to keep SC1 Republican 3. vote Busch = give her the remainder of Scott’s term and use this time to prepare solid candidate to re-take the seat in the regular election. Maybe 1 and 3 are the reasons the polls show it so close – or leaning her way.
We will do 1 or 3!
By May 8th, that SLIMY taste we’ve had in our mouths for the last month will be gone forever!
Conservatives are going to do one of these: 1. Abstain (rather than vote Sanford) 2. vote Sanford to keep SC1 Republican 3. vote Busch = give her the remainder of Scott’s term and use this time to prepare solid candidate to re-take the seat in the regular election. Maybe 1 and 3 are the reasons the polls show it so close – or leaning her way.
We will do 1 or 3!
By May 8th, that SLIMY taste we’ve had in our mouths for the last month will be gone forever!
Hmmm – Only 60% of respondents in the ccadvertising “poll” are registered voters. That’s 45 seconds of my life I will never get back, Will.
Hmmm – Only 60% of respondents in the ccadvertising “poll” are registered voters. That’s 45 seconds of my life I will never get back, Will.
Sanford wins by 4%.
When it happens, I may change my handle to Nate “High-oh” Silver, since changing handles is all the rage now.
Sanford wins by 4%.
When it happens, I may change my handle to Nate “High-oh” Silver, since changing handles is all the rage now.
Glad I read this. I learned that ECB is a 6 figure taxpayer funded bureaucrat and she is Stephen Colbert’s sister. Wow, I never heard that before.
What was Sanfords pay during all the years the taxpayers supported him? How about his free health care and free place to live? Why are all these so called conservatives always looking for a government job for life and government health care?
How about the millions he got from the federal government to not develope his “farm” which would never be developed in the first place.
Glad I read this. I learned that ECB is a 6 figure taxpayer funded bureaucrat and she is Stephen Colbert’s sister. Wow, I never heard that before.
What was Sanfords pay during all the years the taxpayers supported him? How about his free health care and free place to live? Why are all these so called conservatives always looking for a government job for life and government health care?
How about the millions he got from the federal government to not develope his “farm” which would never be developed in the first place.
If Sanford wins,Larry Flynt was right….”Sanford demanded forgiveness while brazenly hugging his mistress at campaign events”……..”.He’s proving that marriage,family and honesty is less important than sex”……..I’m thinking Larry Flynt could get elected in District one if there was an R after his name. Gotta love those family values Christians.
Yep….at the tax payers expense, what a hot ass mess. Good ole Markie, I’ll pay these ethics fines for using tax payer money to see my woman on the side, but I’m not admitting guilt. Yet his supporters have posted these signs around Charleston with the saying “he save’s tax dollars”, there is something seriously wrong with these people, if they plan to re-elect Markie. Paying the fine tells me he’s not only a cheater (which I could care less about), but mostly he’s a great liar. And don’t we have enough lying politicians in SC. Let’s get rid of these bums, not re-elect them.
If Sanford wins,Larry Flynt was right….”Sanford demanded forgiveness while brazenly hugging his mistress at campaign events”……..”.He’s proving that marriage,family and honesty is less important than sex”……..I’m thinking Larry Flynt could get elected in District one if there was an R after his name. Gotta love those family values Christians.
Yep….at the tax payers expense, what a hot ass mess. Good ole Markie, I’ll pay these ethics fines for using tax payer money to see my woman on the side, but I’m not admitting guilt. Yet his supporters have posted these signs around Charleston with the saying “he save’s tax dollars”, there is something seriously wrong with these people, if they plan to re-elect Markie. Paying the fine tells me he’s not only a cheater (which I could care less about), but mostly he’s a great liar. And don’t we have enough lying politicians in SC. Let’s get rid of these bums, not re-elect them.
If Sanford wins, he should make Larry Flynt his Chief of Staff- and what a staff that would be!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
You disgust me Mark! I will NEVER vote for you-Take a Hike!
If Sanford wins, he should make Larry Flynt his Chief of Staff- and what a staff that would be!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
You disgust me Mark! I will NEVER vote for you-Take a Hike!
I am growing accustomed to her face…uh oh…I may be tilting…maybe a blue dog, even one that is pink inside, is better than a laughing stock, at least for the time being, and keep the powder dry for Grooms in ’14.
I am growing accustomed to her face…uh oh…I may be tilting…maybe a blue dog, even one that is pink inside, is better than a laughing stock, at least for the time being, and keep the powder dry for Grooms in ’14.
Did Sanford follow Clinton’s “Don’t Ask Don’t Tell” policy when he was out “hiking” for his health?
No,he followed his dick all the way to Argentina on your dime.
Did Sanford follow Clinton’s “Don’t Ask Don’t Tell” policy when he was out “hiking” for his health?
No,he followed his dick all the way to Argentina on your dime.
Mark has a Ted Kennedy problem.
Mark has a Ted Kennedy problem.
As more people learn the fact that this Democrat is a radical, Pelosi supported stooge who is backed by unions that want to damage Charleston and the Lowcountry by relocating jobs to Seattle they will continue to reject her!
You keep repeating the same old, same old. None of it is true but I guess you can ride that dead horse all you want.
Mark Sanford is a proven liar, cheater, and thief. If you buy into more of his lies you are out of your mind.
John, I ran into a woman at the gym last night that was having a problem. She wants to breast feed her baby,but didn’t know how. Which breast to use? How to get the milk to the right temp? Does she have to heat her breast? Does she have to sterilize her nipples? After the feeding does she have to put her breast in the fridge? If she eats a Hershey bar will the milk be chocclate?…..I didn’t have an answer,but I told her I would ask you,because John Duncan knows everything.He’s my hero.
As more people learn the fact that this Democrat is a radical, pro-choice Pelosi supported stooge who is backed by unions that want to damage Charleston and the Lowcountry by relocating jobs to Seattle they will continue to reject her!
You keep repeating the same old, same old. None of it is true but I guess you can ride that dead horse all you want.
Mark Sanford is a proven liar, cheater, and thief. If you buy into more of his lies you are out of your mind.
John, I ran into a woman at the gym last night that was having a problem. She wants to breast feed her baby,but didn’t know how. Which breast to use? How to get the milk to the right temp? Does she have to heat her breast? Does she have to sterilize her nipples? After the feeding does she have to put her breast in the fridge? If she eats a Hershey bar will the milk be chocclate?…..I didn’t have an answer,but I told her I would ask you,because John Duncan knows everything.He’s my hero.
Sanford is a viper in the bosom of the body politic. He needs to be excised and repudiated once and for all.
Sanford is a viper in the bosom of the body politic. He needs to be excised and repudiated once and for all.
if the cell poll and the dem poll are to be believed then ECB is tanking faster than a paperboat in Charleston harbor. last week the post/courier reported that ECB had a 10%+ led now its down to half a point?? checking tv numbers the congressnl debate drew better than expected viewers so one may can conclude that ECB peaked to early. if that does happen and sanford goes back in to congress we wont need to watch house of cards anymore.
if the cell poll and the dem poll are to be believed then ECB is tanking faster than a paperboat in Charleston harbor. last week the post/courier reported that ECB had a 10%+ led now its down to half a point?? checking tv numbers the congressnl debate drew better than expected viewers so one may can conclude that ECB peaked to early. if that does happen and sanford goes back in to congress we wont need to watch house of cards anymore.